Many modern risks fall into the category of high-impact, low-probability events—scenarios that traditional risk registers often struggle to capture effectively. Drawing on academic research, this session explores how organisations can better understand, assess, and prepare for these complex threats. It will introduce practical approaches for identifying such risks, improving predictive insight, and communicating their potential impact more clearly to decision-makers.
Learning Outcomes
Participants will learn how to:
- Understand the limitations of traditional risk registers when assessing high-impact, low-probability events.
- Apply research-based approaches to identify and assess emerging or complex risks.
- Strengthen organisational capability to anticipate and prepare for disruptive scenarios.
- Communicate complex risk scenarios more effectively to senior stakeholders.
Practical Takeaways
- A structured approach for identifying high-impact, low-probability risks
- Practical tools to support more informed prediction and scenario analysis
- Guidance on presenting complex risk scenarios clearly to leadership teams
